Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.159459 0.170981 0.183067 0.196714 0.211729 0.227778 0.246278
2025-07-27 0.139451 0.156994 0.176621 0.200346 0.228435 0.260865 0.301479
2025-08-03 0.123789 0.144565 0.168980 0.200113 0.239228 0.287390 0.352205
2025-08-10 0.111493 0.133965 0.161412 0.197947 0.246150 0.308820 0.398621
2025-08-17 0.100589 0.123592 0.152560 0.192476 0.247298 0.321910 0.434776
2025-08-24 0.092434 0.115759 0.145914 0.188743 0.249703 0.336180 0.473741
2025-08-31 0.085815 0.109263 0.140282 0.185533 0.252040 0.350028 0.513403
2025-09-07 0.081710 0.105723 0.138211 0.186874 0.260737 0.373855 0.571931
2025-09-14 0.076103 0.099686 0.132147 0.181782 0.259052 0.381101 0.603534
2025-09-21 0.070526 0.093321 0.125148 0.174656 0.253389 0.381071 0.621984
2025-09-28 0.066462 0.088845 0.120554 0.170747 0.252347 0.388368 0.654621
2025-10-05 0.064933 0.087900 0.121021 0.174611 0.264183 0.418836 0.736418
2025-10-12 0.063116 0.086492 0.120799 0.177518 0.274988 0.449393 0.825792
2025-10-19 0.060857 0.084315 0.119288 0.178252 0.282196 0.474480 0.909591
2025-10-26 0.058366 0.081648 0.116845 0.177233 0.286159 0.493883 0.985161
2025-11-02 0.055833 0.078778 0.113899 0.175111 0.287852 0.508951 1.053963
2025-11-09 0.052935 0.075199 0.109615 0.170359 0.284135 0.512412 1.094768
2025-11-16 0.050574 0.072348 0.106349 0.167148 0.283038 0.521206 1.151507
2025-11-23 0.048478 0.069816 0.103466 0.164400 0.282557 0.531213 1.213977
2025-11-30 0.047287 0.068665 0.102783 0.165541 0.289864 0.559451 1.335618
2025-12-07 0.045145 0.065888 0.099242 0.161194 0.285580 0.560476 1.376514
2025-12-14 0.042811 0.062715 0.094896 0.155101 0.277190 0.550865 1.382288
2025-12-21 0.041102 0.060503 0.092096 0.151754 0.274325 0.554269 1.431385